Oscar Predictions By Katherine

It’s time for my old stand-by who should win/who will win predictions: Oscar edition. Get your pens poised, cause I’ll be showing you how to destroy you Oscar pool, thereby allowing you to verbally abuse all of those who pail in comparison to your Oscar greatness. Enjoy!

Best Motion Picture Of The Year

Who Should Win: The Tree Of Life - If you have read this blog even once, you will most likely know that I have a complete obsession with this bizarre, jurassic, and confusing film. Terence Mallick is a genius. Brad Pitt looked sexy in readers. Dinosaurs were there. What more do you want?

Who Will Win: The ArtistThis charming throw-back to the black and white, silent era of film had every critic cheering. Literally. Every freaking critic would not shut up about this. It would be a huuuuuuge shocker if this film didn’t bring home not only this award, but plenty more.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Lead Role

Who Should Win: Damian Bachir in A Better Life - First of all, this film was one of the most affecting of the year. Second of all, Bachir is an incredibly underrated talent who deserves this, not only for his killer performance, but also for dat ass. Seriously. Google him.

Who Will Win: Jean Dujardin in The Artist – As George Vallentin, Dujardin was Clark Gable, Gene Kelly, and a French George Clooney all in one. It’s particularly awkward that in winning this award, he will be beating the real George Clooney.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Lead Role

Who Should Win: Meryl Streep in The Iron Lady - She’s a fucking goddess. End of discussion.

Who Will Win: Meryl Streep in The Iron Lady - Fucking right. (Sorry for so much profanity. Meryl just does something to me, okay?)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role

Who Should Win: Christopher Plummer in Beginners - What can I say? This was Captain Von Trapp’s year. As Hal, the newly gay and newly proud senior citizen, Plummer proved that hot Canadian men just get better with age.

Who Will Win: Christopher Plummer in Beginners – Everyone loves a gay old guy. Except maybe Evangelists and Anne Coulter.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role

Who Should Win: Melissa McCarthy in Bridesmaids - Okay, hear me out. Her character was based on Guy Fieri. That alone is worthy of an Oscar. Also, she grounded an otherwise ridiculous character with heart, wit, and some much-needed restraint.

Who Will Win: Octavia Spencer in The Help – It’s Minny Jackson’s year. No one can stop her and her shit pies.

Best Achievement In Directing

Who Should Win: Woody Allen for Midnight In Paris - Maybe my odd attraction to this incestuous little director has skewed my choice, but I believe this film is one of Allen’s best in years.

Who Will Win: Martin Scorsese for HugoScorsese took a big risk with his first foray into 3D and boy did it pay off.

Best Screenplay

Who Should Win: Kristen Wiig and Amy Mumolo for Bridesmaids - To all the nay sayers out there: this script was charming, original, hilarious and yeah, a little raunchy. Unfortunately, the raunch stigma stinks. (Literally. Did you see her poop in the street?) Anyway, the snooty, old Oscar voters will likely not be rewarding that sort of potty humour and women being all independent and hilarious. Quelle domage.

Who Will Win: Woody Allen for Midnight In Paris - I’m into it. It is deserved. Ca c’est tout. (Get it? Cause it was set in Paris. So topical and hilarious).

Best Adapted Screenplay

Who Should Win: Steve Zaillian, Aaron Sorkin, and Stan Chervin for Moneyball – This trio is an Oscar voter’s wet dream. However, the film doesn’t have the cache to hold down a win. Sorry, Sorkin. You’ll have to cry into your Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar for The Social Network. So 2011.

Who Will Win: Alexander Payne , Nat Faxon, and Jim Rash for The Descendants - They had to throw something Clooney’s way to make it worth his bronzer and carting that shiny mannequin around the red carpet all night.

Best Animated Feature Film 

Who Should Win: Puss In Boots – I chose this mostly because I enjoy Latin stereotypes.

Who Will Win: Rango - Johnny Depp as a lizard of some sort? American Western themes? Other talking animals? Oscar voters are clearly sold.

Best Foreign Language Film

Who Should Win: Monsieur Lazhar – Okay, I’m biased because it’s French Canadian. But honestly, this film was one of the most joyful, poignant, and enjoyable movies of the year. Bien sur! Poutine for all!

Who Will Win: A Separation - This Iranian import seems to have struck every right note with Oscar voters. I would be shocked if this classic Oscar bait didn’t bring home the gold.

Best Documentary

Who Should Win: Pina – This stunning 3D dance documentary may not have struck enough of an activist tone to make a ripple in the category, but it was by far the most visually impressive film I saw all year.

Who Will Win: Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory – Let’s face it: HBO is like the cool kid at every award show. And the triple-homicide murder trial it is based upon is just too exciting, too provocative, and too engaging to be denied.

For a complete list of this year’s nominations, click here.

SAG Award Predictions – Movies

The 18th Screen Actors Guild Awards will be airing tomorrow night, meaning another round of who should will/will win predictions are in order. Long considered to be one of the ultimate predictors as to who will take him the Oscar statues come February, the SAGS are all about actors honouring actors.

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture

Who Should Win: Bridesmaids – This raunchy, estrogen comedy would have been nothing without its cast of incredible, hilarious, shitting ladies. However, me thinks most Stanislavski loving SAG voters will turn up their little, method-acting noses at the gaggle of gals taking a dump all over a bridal boutique. Lame.

Who Will Win: The Help - Based on the math alone, (three individual gals from The Help have been nominated), it seems like the Screen Actor’s Guild is aaaaall about Tate Taylor’s 1960′s race dramedy.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role

Who Should Win: Demián Bichir in A Better Life – Bichir’s performance in Chris Weitz’s drama about an LA gardener trying to keep his son out of a life of crime just earned the Mexican actor an Academy Award nomination. Unfortunately, the film is just too under the radar to earn Bichir a win tomorrow night at the SAGs or at the Oscars.

Who Will Win: George Clooney in The Descendants - Tough category, as that whiley Frenchman Dujardin could always come away with it. But Clooney has been nominated three times, with no cheddar. Actors are  a long-suffering group, what with the rejection, the side jobs waiting tables, and those really unflattering leotards they’re always wearing in movement class. I believe they’ll reward Clooney’s suffering with a SAG win tomorrow night.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role

Who Should Win: Meryl Streep in The Iron Lady - Come on, do I really need to explain? Strep’s tour-de-force performance as Britain’s polarizing former PM was simply perfection. She deserves this win, and many others this awards season.

Who Will Win: Meryl Streep in The Iron Lady - Streep is truly an actor’s actor. The Screen Actor’s Guild can appreciate Meryl’s talent, range, and her ability to done prosthetics for 3/4 of this film. Those actor voters know how freaking uncomfortable that is. They’ll be giving the gold to Streep.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role

Who Should Win: Christopher Plummer in Beginners - Proving that his talent and that sexy, sexy voice only get  better with age, Plummer’s performance as the newly out-and-proud widower is the best of his career.

Who Will Win: Christopher Plummer in Beginners - In my opinion, no one could touch him this season. (Sorry, Albert Brooks).

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role

Who Should Win: Jessica Chastain in The Help – Obviously I am not the biggest fan of The Help, (see above, re hilarious and true movie poster), but I am of the belief that Chastain absolutely owned 2011. With unnominated work in two much superior films to this piece of shit pie, (Take Shelter, The Tree of Life), Chastain deserves the recognition.

Who Will Win: Octavia Spencer in The Help - Yeah, she’s the one who baked the shit pie. But despite my witty bitterness, her performance really was stellar, and Spencer looks like a lock to take it home, tomorrow night.

Outstanding Performance by a Stunt Ensemble in a Motion Picture (wtf)

Who Should Win: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Pt. 2 - I have no freaking clue as to why. There were a lot of actors falling all over the place cause of all the spells? Alan Rickman’s getting old? Who knows. Just give an award to HP, cause it’s awesome and deserves it.

Who Will Win: Cowboys and Aliens - They fell more?

For a complete list of 2011 SAG nominees, click here.

My Golden Globe Predictions: Television

After popular demand from my dad, below are my who should win/who will win predictions for the television Golden Globe awards. Enjoy, and comment for chastization if I’m wrong.

Best Television Series – Drama

Who Should Win: Game of Thrones - HBO’s medievally fantastical series deserves top prize this year, but its awards season heat has cooled off considerably since its first season finale aired in June.

Who Will Win: Homeland - An Iraq war veteran? A swearing CIA agent? Who could resist?

Best Performance by an Actress In A Television Series – Drama

Who Should Win: Claire Danes in Homeland - Good girl goes bad Danes’ transformation is awe-inspiring in this Showtime series. Angela Chase, be damned!

Who Will Win: Claire Danes in Homeland - HFP voters have taken note of every F bomb and have loved every syllable.

Best Performance by an Actor In a Television Series – Drama

Who Should Win: Steve Buscemi in Boardwalk Empire - Although buzz for HBO’s 20′s period piece has hushed considerably, Buscemi continues to amaze as political bootlegger Nucky.

Who Will Win: Bryan Cranston in Breaking Bad - As high school chemistry turned meth dealer, Cranston continues to be a voter favourite, and the Hollywood Foreign Press are no exception.

Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical

Who Should Win: Enlightened - This entirely underrated little HBO show about a high-powered female executive (Laura Dern) in the midst of an existential crisis will almost certainly be overlooked. Le sigh.

Who will Win: Modern Family - Everyone’s favourite Arrested Development knock-off just won’t cool off. Cue stereotypically gay comment by Cam.

Best Performance by an Actress In A Television Series – Comedy or Musical

Who Should Win: Laura Dern in Englightened – Sensing a theme yet? Dern absolutely kills it as the over-bearing power bitch in rehab. Her tour-de-force performance of physical hilarity deserves the accolade.

Who Will Win: Laura Dern in Englightened - Praise HBO, but I think it might actually happen.

Best Performance by an Actor In A Television Series – Comedy or Musical

Who Should Win: Matt LeBlanc in Episodes - I know! Who knew Joey Tribbiani could act!

Who Will Win: Johnny Galecki in The Big Bang Theory - Them Hollywood Foreign Press voters love the clichéd nerds. Again, le sigh.

Best Mini-Series Or Motion Picture Made For Television

Who Should Win: Downton Abbey – It’s all about the aristocrats and the Brits. Just don’t watch it and expect it to be about a hip Bronx nunnery. I’ve already made that mistake once . . .

Who Will Win: Downton Abbey - I’m sorry, but Damn Maggie Smith is just the shit. Well deserved.

Best Performance by an Actress In A Mini-Series Or Motion Picture Made For Television

Who Should Win: Kate Winslet in Mildred Pierce – If I had it my way, the goddess of the Brits and Jack Dawson’s heart deserves a double win, for Mildred Pierce and Carnage.

Who Will Win: Kate Winslet in Mildred Pierce – You don’t save Richard Branson’s mother from a burning building and come away with nothing.

Best Performance by an Actor In A Mini-Series Or Motion Picture Made For Television

Who Should Win: Bill Nighy in Page Eight – Bill Nighy, aka Billy Mack from Love Actually, is horridly underrated in this harrowing film of homeland security and M15 officers. I feel it in my fingers . . . that he will get unjustly snubbed.

Who Will Win: Hugh Bonneville in Downton Abbey – Yeah we get it, the brits rock.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role In A Series, Mini-Series Or Motion Picture Made For Television

Who Should Win: Evan Rachel Wood in Mildred Pierce - I am one of ERW’s sole-supporters, but I was a big fan of her horrifying portrayal as Vita, the daughter who knows how to get what she wants at any cost. What can I say, I admire a girl with work-ethic.

Who Will Win: Maggie Smith in Downton Abbey – She’s a dame, literally. Yep, it’s happening.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role In A Series, Mini-Series Or Motion Picture Made For Television

Who Should Win: Guy Pearce in Mildred Pierce - Maybe I’m biased to this particular mini-series, but Pearce was fantastic and so was the series. It deserves a rewatch by voters and viewers, alike.

Who Will Win: Peter Dinklage in Game of Thrones –  A worthy choice for his portrayal as Tyrion Lannister, the aristocratic ‘imp’.

For a complete list of the 2012 Golden Globe nominees, click here.

My Golden Globe Predictions: Movies

It is the eve before the Golden Globes and many questions loom: who will win, who will lose, who will wear what, who will Gervais drive to substance abuse? Known as one of the fluffiest awards shows, it’s time for me to break down my who should win/who will win movie predictions. I know my dad is psyched for this.

Best Motion Picture Drama

Who Should Win: The Descendants - Alexander Payne’s impressive family drama so thoroughly avoids the melodrama in favour of the honest, the sincere, and the Clooney.

Who Will Win: The Help  - Tate Taylor’s narrative of 1960s black maids who risk it all to tell it all is Golden Globes catnip. Unfortunately, this problematic Mammy-spree will take home the gold.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

Who Should Win: Meryl Streep in The Iron Lady - With almost 30 years since Streep’s last win for Sophie’s Choice, her tour-de-force performance as Margaret Thatcher is one of her best to date.

Who Will Win: Meryl Streep in The Iron Lady - Yeah, it’s time.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

Who Should Win: George Clooney in The Descendants – I’ve been hard on him for always playing himself, it paid off majorly in his performance as Hawaiian land baron Matt King. Although the best performance of the year was Michael Shannon in the incredible Take Shelter, Clooney is the best of these nominees.

Who Will Win:  George Clooney in The Descendants - Although it’ll be a close call between the Clooney and Brad Pitt for his impressive turn in Moneyball, I think Clooney’s honest and powerful performance will win the day.

Best Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical

Who Should Win: The Artist – Believe the hype. This black and white, silent film is so charmingly and skillfully executing, it’ll have you nostalgic for the Chaplin days.

Who Will Win: The Artist – There’s no stopping this one. The undeniable momentum of this french phenom will most likely take them all the way to a Best Picture win at the Oscars.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical

Who Should Win: Kate Winslet in Carnage - One of her least talked about performances, but one of her best nonetheless, Winslet’s performance as Nancy Cowan, a mother trapped in a parental dispute, is simply stunning.

Who Will Win: Charlize Theron in Young Adult – Her subtle, menacing, and bitchy performance in Diablo Cody and Jason Reitman’s first collaboration since Juno got a lot of folks talking. She’s hit her stride at just the right time in the awards season race.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical

Who Should Win: Jean Dujardin in The Artist - Not enough can be said about Dujardin’s stunning, physical, and charming performance as George Valentin. He’s bringing black and white back, and it’s a welcome and fresh change from the status quo of American film.

Who Will Win: Jean Dujardin in The Artist - It’s all about The Artist and it’ll show in the numbers, tomorrow night.

Best Animated Feature Film

Who Should Win: The Adventures of Tintin - With stunning special effects and a jovial and exciting plot, this Jackson/Spielberg collaboration was a light point in the feel bad movie season of the year.

Who Will Win: Rango - It’s been an awards season favourite so far, and Johnny Depp’s vocal stylings as a cool, Southern chameleon might just charm the Hollywood Foreign Press too.

Best Foreign Language Film

Who Should Win: In The Land Of Blood and Honey – Written and directed by that ugly actress Angelina Jolie, this tale of forbidden love during the Bosnian War is altogether brutal and stirring.

Who Will Win: In The Land Of Blood and Honey - Sucks to be Angelina, huh?

Best Performance by and Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

Who Should Win: Berenice Benjo in The Artist - Charming, moving, and sweet, Benjo brings back the ingenue in her literally silent performance in the French sleeper hit.

Who Will Win: Octavia Spencer in The Help - There’s no denying the Spencer. Cleaning up at awards shows throughout the season, her performance as the black maid with a flare for revenge will undoubtedly win.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

Who Should Win: Christopher Plummer in Beginners - With dually acclaimed performances in this film and The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo, it’s all about the sexy senior citizen this awards season.

Who Will Win: Christopher Plummer in Beginners - Although he’s got close competition with Albert Brooks in Drive, Plummer’s performance as the newly out and proud gay senior is a critic favourite.

Best Director – Motion Picture

Who Should Win: Michel Hazanavicius in The Artist – With stunning visual and emotional images, Hazanavicius makes a stunning mark in popular cinema with his tale about film innovation and love.

Who Will Win: Michel Hazanavicius in The Artist – A director who can make a black and white, silent picture a hit in the United States: now that’s award worthy.

Best Screenplay – Motion Picture

Who Should Win: Woody Allen for Midnight In Paris- With his whimsical, challenging, fantastical, and charming screenplay, writer and director Allen was able to craft a story that brought in the best box office numbers of his career.

Who Will Win: Stan Chervin, Aaron Sorkin, and Steve Zaillian for Moneyball - The wordy trio showed considerable restraint with this crisp, slick, and exciting adaptation of Michael Lewis’s novel of the same name. The Hollywood Foreign Press will not be able to resist.

Best Original Score – Motion Picture 

Who Should Win: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo - Reuniting the Oscar winning musical team from Fincher’s last film, The Social Network, this duo of English gent and Nine Inch Nails frontman produced a powerful, sinister score.

Who Will Win: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo - This could possibly be the only award for Fincher’s adaptation of Steig Larsson’s bestselling novel. I’m still bitter about the Social Network too.

Best Original Song – Motion Picture

Who Should Win: I have no opinion. Maybe Elton John for that Gnomeo and Juliet film, mostly because the combination makes me laugh.

Who Will Win: I can only assume the Hollywood Foreign Press will agree with my above reasoning.

For a complete list of the 2012 Golden Globe nominations, click here.

Who do you think will win tomorrow night? Isn’t the combination of Elton John and talking gnomes hilarious? Drop me a line in the comment section.